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We’ve now heard from about half of the S&P 500 companies on Q4 earnings. And about 70% of those companies have beat Wall Street’s earnings estimates. We’ve heard from the banks, early on, which broadly painted the picture of a healthy economy. And now we’ve heard from the dominant tech giants/ disrupters of the past decade. Facebook beat. Amazon beat. Google beat. But times are changing. Remember, the regulatory screws have tightened on the tech giants over the past year. It was a matter of when the market would finally price OUT the idea that these industry killers would be left unchallenged, to become monopolies. With that in mind, back in early October, when market risks were building (from China, to interest rates, to Italy, to Saudi Arabia), we looked at this big and vulnerable trendline in Amazon.
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Here’s the chart on Amazon now … |
The break of that line gave way to a 30% plunge in what was the biggest company in the world. Bottom line: Amazon, Facebook and Google have entered into regulatory purgatory — after being largely left alone for the past decade to nearly destroy industries with little-to-no regulatory oversight. Costs are going UP and will keep going up.. With all of this said, the stocks of these tech giants might take a breather, but given their scale and maturity, more regulation actually strengthens their moat. There will never be a competitor to Facebook Join me here to get my curated portfolio of 20 stocks that I think can do multiples of what broader stocks do, coming out of this market correction environment.
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January 29, 5:00 pm EST Today let’s take a look at the recent moves the U.S. administration has made against Venezuela, and what that means for oil prices. It was August of 2017, when Trump first stepped up pressure on Venezuela. Venezuela is (and has been) in a humanitarian, political and economic crisis–led by what the U.S. administration has officially called a dictator. Trump slapped sanctions on the Venezuelan President back in 2017 (freezing his U.S assets) and was said to be considering broad oil sanctions. That finally came yesterday (seventeen months later). For a country that relied heavily on oil exports (ninety-five percent of export revenues in Venezuela come from oil), the U.S. will no longer be sending money to Venezuela for oil. This is a crushing blow for an already suffering country. What does it mean for oil prices? Venezuela has the world’s largest oil reserves. With oil sanctions, should come supply disruptions for the oil market, which could likely send oil aggressively higher. Back in 2017, when Trump threatened sanctions, oil broke out of its $40-$55 range, and ultimately traded up to $76. Today, we’re nearing the top end of that same range. |
Join me here to get my curated portfolio of 20 stocks that I think can do multiples of what broader stocks do, coming out of this market correction environment.
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